Fixed Football Match Betting
In this article, I will discuss how to detect fixed football matches and provide authentic data and facts to support this. While it is well-known that match-fixing happens and can be lucrative, it is crucial to recognize the legitimate ways to identify match-fixing, and I will reveal how match-fixing scammers operate. The scammers have previously attempted to contact viewers in previous uploads, but please ignore them, as the YouTube spam filter will remove their comments soon. As a full-time betting odds trader, I have witnessed numerous betting scams, and once you have seen one, you have seen them all. In creating this video, I contacted one of these scammers, and they responded in less than a minute, which I will explain.
Before discussing how to identify fixed football matches using analytics and data, we must prove that fixed football matches exist, which is not challenging. Companies such as Sportradar that monitor suspicious activities in football estimate that 300 matches alone in the European leagues each year are suspected of match-fixing. Additionally, in 2010, 46 individuals were arrested in Turkey in connection with match-fixing. Bribery within the sport is also prevalent online, so it is undoubtedly a thing. However, determining whether it is all about fixed final results is another matter, as it is prevalent to fix the scoring line of various matches.
Surprisingly, the best way to identify fixed football matches is by looking at the betting data analytics, volumes, and trends and then working backward towards the player's behavior. This method is much more effective than the other way around. In particular, irregularities in the amounts and volumes of money bet on those betting markets in comparison to what they usually would be, as well as the amounts of money bet at certain odds in comparison to the entire market's betting volume. If that matches up with its statistical probable chances and considering other exterior factors much like they did on the Netflix documentary for point-shaving, then working backward towards the players and seeing which players are routinely linked to this kind of activity. To know how to do this, we need to understand where and when match-fixing is most likely to occur. It is highly unlikely to find fixed football matches in the Premier League as players and managers earn too much to risk their careers. Match-fixing is more likely to occur in the lower leagues, where players and managers need the money, such as Serie B or the Turkish Super League. The authorities are less likely to follow up on these leagues, and therefore it is less important in the world of football.
To identify fixed football matches, the first thing to observe is the amount of money that has been matched. I suggest looking at an online betting exchange to do this because you can see the traded volumes and the amount of money bet versus if you are using a platform like bet365, where you have no idea how many bets they have taken at which price. If the amount of money bet and traded on one of these football matches is massively distorted in comparison to what it usually should be, then it is a red flag. The second point is the deviation of betting volumes on a particular odds in relation to its entire market value. For instance, if there is a betting market with a hundred thousand pounds matched on a football match, and you have Team A and Team B, then you need to check the deviation of the betting volume on each team.
